DRIVER (Fundamental system)
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Charles François (2004). DRIVER (Fundamental system). International Encyclopedia of Systems and Cybernetics, 2(1): 986.
| Collection | International Encyclopedia of Systems and Cybernetics |
|---|---|
| Year | 2004 |
| Vol. (num.) | 2(1) |
| ID | ◀ 986 ▶ |
| Object type | General information, Methodology or model |
The fsds are “variables (that) override all other systems variables in their dynamic behavior on the system” (Ibid). They could also be called “basic survival variables”.
WATT uses fsds as a forecasting tool, to be applied to what he considers as the long-term trends (i.e. covering decades and centuries — as opposed to extrapolations from short-term trends), most basic for the future of mankind as a whole.
WATT considers present or probably imminent global perturbations: mass epidemics (Template:Iesc entity), evolution of energy prices, climate change, total traffic jam and global pollution. All are obviously probable results of unsustainable exponential long-term trends