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CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES MATRIX

From glossaLAB
Charles François (2004). CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES MATRIX, International Encyclopedia of Systems and Cybernetics, 2(1): 596.
Collection International Encyclopedia of Systems and Cybernetics
Year 2004
Vol. (num.) 2(1)
ID 596
Object type Methodology or model
“A matrix determining the relative probabilities of various patterns (and patterns of patterns) of behavior in all possible circumstances” (1969, p.95).

Mac KAY expresses this also in the following alternative way: “A hierarchic structure of organizing ”sub-routines“ to determine these conditional probabilities interlocked in such a way as to represent implicitely the structure of the environment (the world of activity) with which the organism must interact. For many purposes, we may reduce it to the filling-out of a world-map, ready to be consulted according to current needs and goals” (Ibid).

These very interesting definitions evoke:

1 — K. STEINBUCH's “Learn-matrixes” through wich a system is establishing connections between specific signs and specific meanings.

2 — H. MATURANA and F. VARELAorganizational closure” according to which everything which happens to a system happens within the system and then only within the limits of the predefined capacity of autopoiesis (self-reproduction) of the system. (Remains to explain wherefrom this capacity comes into being and why and how it becomes closured).

3 — W.R. ASHBY's “Law of requisity variety” and concept of constraint.

4 — the incapacity for any system to construct a complete and totally thrustworthy map of the world wherein it exists; as shown by A. KORZYBSKI (1933, 1950).

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